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Polymarket Hits $10B as Prediction Markets Come of Age
January 23, 2025 at 8:06 PMby The Block Whisperer
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Polymarket hits $10B in betting volume, thriving beyond elections with fast-paced bets. Fueled by Polygon, it’s reshaping prediction markets as blockchain’s social crystal ball.
The biggest crystal ball in Web3 just grew a little larger.
Polymarket crossed $10 billion in total betting volume, proving prediction markets aren't just for election bets anymore – they have long-term staying power.
Here's what's really happening behind those numbers.
Polymarket maintained momentum even after the election, pulling in 54,000 daily users betting on everything they can think of—viral tweets, crypto prices, and what the new President will do next.
Most bets resolve in 3-4 days, perfect for the TikTok attention span.
The fast-paced nature of Web3 betting markets is what caught the attention of young folks – this ain’t your daddy’s casino.
And the platform is changing fast to match this pace preference.
Nearly half the users who showed up after November 6, never touched election bets before Polymarket.
Average folks are throwing down $178 on random predictions, while election bettors went bigger at $292. While average betting size fluctuates; that's still a big ticket bet.
But the real scoop is that small bets are starting to take over the platform.
People are dropping $10 here, $100 there, and hunting for potential airdrops.
Four million unique addresses later, Polymarket's looking more like social media than Wall Street.
The success of Polymarket is the story of Polygon's triumph. It’s arguably crypto’s first killer app.
And the proof is in the numbers. Network transactions have tripled from 1 million to 3.5 million since October.
More bets mean more USDC flowing through Polygon, keeping Polymarket in the network's top 5 apps.
However, the POL token has been on a wild ride and hasn’t seen the full benefits of Polymarket’s success.
It moved from $0.70 in November to $0.44 now, meaning it’s seen better days.
But with 87% of tokens swapped and analysts calling for a breakout, this might be the calm before the storm.
Prediction markets aren't new, but $10 billion in volume changes things.
When millions of people bet real money on outcomes, they create something bigger – a crowdsourced crystal ball that's right more often than experts.
Polymarket's success is about leveraging the collective intelligence of the masses on blockchain rails.
When anyone can bet on anything, from Trump pardons to crypto prices, you get a real-time pulse of what people think will happen.
The question isn't whether instant betting markets like this will go mainstream – they already have.
The question is what we'll do with all that predictive power.
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