The Bitcoin Top Isn't In, According To Analysts
April 1, 2025 at 5:12 PMby The Block Whisperer
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Bitcoin falls below $83k as analysts dismiss "top is in" claims, citing missing euphoric blow-off top indicators.
Bitcoin just dropped below $83k (again), and the doomsayers are already writing obituaries for the bull market.
But top analysts are calling BS on the "top is in" crowd faster, though, as they keep the faith thanks to some handy data.
This correction might just be the floor check we needed before the real moon mission begins.
BitQuant just demolished the bearish narrative on X with a simple history lesson.
He pointed out that during the last cycle, the $60k top had that classic textbook structure that screamed, "Sell everything."
This time? Nothing even close to that kind of euphoric blow-off top that typically marks the end of a Bitcoin bull run.
He's saying the current bears are just noobs who've never actually lived through a full Bitcoin bull cycle.
When the real top hits with its signature 25% pullback, you won't need some anon with laser eyes to tell you – you'll feel it in your portfolio.
Kevin Capital is preaching patience while acknowledging we're definitely in correction territory.
He's watching the critical $81k support level (the "golden pocket") closely for signs of a bounce or break.
If that breaks, we could be looking at a slide down to the $70-73k range – basically a Black Friday sale for anyone who missed the earlier pumps.
But the liquidation data shows $16 billion in short liquidations from here to $107k, versus just $1.5 billion in long liquidations down to $77k.
That's a massive imbalance that market makers can't ignore – they'll eventually hunt those shorts with a squeeze that could make long-term holders very happy indeed.
Trump's tariffs kicking in on April 2nd have the traditional markets spooked, and crypto is catching some of that fear.
Regulatory whiplash from SEC leadership changes has some institutions temporarily pulling back from Bitcoin ETFs.
And yet, despite all this noise, Bitcoin is still holding above $80k like it's no big deal.
Kevin Capital thinks these headwinds are temporary – once they clear up, we could see another leg up that makes this dip look like a blip on the chart.
Some analysts are still calling for $150k Bitcoin by 2025 based on historical patterns and Fibonacci levels.
Institutions may have slowed their buying, but they're still accumulating at support levels – these guys don't just throw billions at something they think is topping out.
Even with the current 2% daily drop to $82k, the structure of this bull market remains intact.
If $81k breaks, brace for that drop to $70-73k, which would actually be a healthy 25-30% correction by Bitcoin standards.
But if we stabilize here, the path to $100k could open yet again, and Bitcoin could regain that sweet six-figure glory.
The macro events this week, especially the labor market data, could be the catalysts that determine which way we break.
The weak hands are selling, the strong hands are accumulating, and the analysts who've been through multiple cycles are telling you to chill out.
This isn't what a Bitcoin cycle top looks like – not even close.
When the real top comes, you won't need Twitter to tell you – your portfolio will be up so much that even your nocoiners friends will be asking for advice.
Until then, maybe consider buying the dip instead of buying the fear.
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