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U.S. Stablecoin Power-Play Could Backfire, Analysts Warn
November 15, 2025 at 10:10 AMby The Block Whisperer
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The United States may strengthen the dollar by pushing stablecoin adoption, but growing reliance on digital dollars could create risks that turn the strategy against U.S. interests
The U.S. has been supporting the growth of dollar-denominated stablecoins, allowing private issuers to become a fast-growing extension of the dollar system. Stablecoins are now a major liquidity rail for crypto markets, cross-border payments and on-chain trading.
Washington sees them as a soft-power tool. The more global users hold dollar-backed tokens, the stronger the dollar’s influence becomes across digital markets and emerging economies.
Analysts warn that the rapid expansion of stablecoins may create unexpected pressure on U.S. interest rates. Stablecoin issuers hold massive amounts of Treasury bills to back their tokens. As issuance rises, demand for short-dated U.S. government paper also increases.
If that demand becomes too large it could push yields lower than policymakers intend. Lower yields mean a lower neutral interest rate. This makes monetary policy more difficult to manage because traditional tools lose some of their force.
The U.S. would then face a situation where its own digital-dollar ecosystem weakens the Federal Reserve’s ability to steer the economy.
A rising dollar normally helps U.S. global dominance, but it can hurt other parts of the economy. A stronger dollar makes exports more expensive and squeezes global borrowers who rely on dollar-denominated debt.
Stablecoins extend this effect. Digital dollars move faster than bank dollars, reach more countries and bypass traditional capital-control barriers. If adoption accelerates too quickly, it can drain demand away from domestic assets and increase volatility in global markets.
Despite stablecoins becoming a trillion-dollar asset class in the coming years, the United States still lacks a clear regulatory framework. Multiple agencies are fighting for jurisdiction. Issuers must navigate fragmented rules and unclear compliance expectations.
This uncertainty could push offshore issuers to dominate the market. In that case the U.S. would lose direct oversight of a system it relies on for influence.
If stablecoins continue to grow without a coordinated regulatory plan, the U.S. risks creating a dollar system that is powerful but harder to control. For crypto markets this could mean sharper liquidity cycles, increased sensitivity to Treasury-bill yields and more complex market behaviour around global risk events.
At the same time stablecoins remain one of the most important bridges between traditional finance and digital markets. Their growth is not slowing down. The question now is whether U.S. regulators can guide that growth without weakening their own monetary toolkit.
The next wave of regulation will determine how stablecoins interact with banks, Treasuries and global markets. If the U.S. gets the framework right, stablecoins can strengthen the dollar’s influence and support innovation. If the framework stays unclear, the strategy could backfire by undermining interest-rate policy and pushing market power offshore.
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