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Altcoins Losing To Bitcoin's Dominance

The Block Whisperer

April 29, 2025 at 9:48 AMby The Block Whisperer

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Bitcoin dominates while altcoins flatline—overlevered longs & low liquidity keep alts stuck sideways

Altcoins Losing To Bitcoin's Dominance
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Bitcoin is giving off gigachad energy, while altcoins are stuck in sideways purgatory, and the market has never been more bipolar.

Analytics firm Alphractal just dropped the tea on why your favorite altcoins aren't mooning despite everyone and their dog being long.

It can feel perplexing, so let’s demystify the situation.

The Altcoin Cope Is Real

RAY has the highest long/short ratio of any major altcoin, followed by a buffet of random tickers like GTC, COS, DOT, and other alphabet soup that nobody outside of CT has heard of.

Translation: Everyone's betting these coins will pump, which usually means they're about to get rekt.

Alphractal' is saying "when everyone's a bull, nobody's a bull" – crowded trades are where dreams go to die.

These extreme ratios are flashing warning signs to anyone who will listen, and the smart money is already hedging its bets.

Bitcoin Is Setting Up Something Big

While alts are doing their best impression of a flatline EKG, Bitcoin's BTC/Stablecoin ratio is looking like 2020 all over again.

CEO João Wedson is pointing to patterns that appeared just before Bitcoin went parabolic post-COVID and in late 2022.

The ratio is currently sitting in the $76-77K range, which historically indicates that something significant is brewing.

Stablecoin reserves are building up on exchanges like ammo waiting to be fired into BTC.

The Short Squeeze That Isn't Happening

For these alts to pump, we'd need Open Interest to spike, which is conveniently not happening.

Without new money flowing in, all these long positions are just degens playing hot potato with each other.

Alphractal is expecting more sideways action, which is finance-speak for "your bags aren't going to pump anytime soon."

The market needs fresh capital, not just recycled money from the same people trading the same positions.

The Classic Bitcoin-Altcoin Dance

Here's how this usually plays out: Bitcoin pumps, dominance increases, altcoins bleed hard, and speculators are left reeling.

Once Bitcoin cools off at new highs, degens rotate profits into altcoins, and we get the mythical "altseason."

We're currently in the "Bitcoin flexing" phase, which means alt bagholders need to touch grass for now.

History shows this pattern repeats every cycle, but somehow people still get surprised when their alts dump during BTC rallies.

What Smart Money Sees 

The Bitcoin/Stablecoin ratio in the $76-77K range is the canary in the coal mine.

Low Exchange Stablecoin Ratio (ESR) means there's dry powder on the sidelines ready to ape in.

If Bitcoin breaks out hard, history suggests that altcoins eventually get their turn at the feeding trough.

But right now, alt ratios are screaming "caution," and it's best to listen when they’re yelling this loudly.

The Liquidity Game

Stablecoin reserves on exchanges are like loaded guns waiting to be fired.

When these reserves are high relative to Bitcoin, it signals incoming buying pressure.

This pattern preceded major rallies after the 2020 crash and the late 2022 bottom.

Meanwhile, altcoins are sitting there with high long ratios but no actual capital inflow.

Keeping It Real With Ratios

Bitcoin is showing all the signs of another significant move, while alts are stuck in no-man's land.

The market is essentially saying, "Bitcoin first, ask questions later" – a tale as old as crypto itself.

If you're holding alts, you should prepare for more sideways action or worse.

The rotation will come eventually, but trying to time it is like trying to catch falling knives.

Meaning What For Your Bags?

Bitcoin has the liquidity, patterns, and momentum to make another run.

Altcoins are overextended on hopium with no actual fuel in the tank.

If Bitcoin rips, alts might follow – but for now, they're just expensive lottery tickets.

Your favorite influencer shilling their bags doesn't change the fact that the charts don't lie, and right now, they're saying Bitcoin is the only game in town.

#technical-analysis
#crypto
#bitcoin
#markets

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